Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.028641 0.030748 0.032866 0.035152 0.037546 0.039978 0.042632
2026-01-25 0.024584 0.027866 0.031287 0.035106 0.039240 0.043568 0.048430
2026-02-01 0.022095 0.026039 0.030256 0.035076 0.040409 0.046105 0.052625
2026-02-08 0.020160 0.024571 0.029392 0.035010 0.041339 0.048210 0.056194
2026-02-15 0.018541 0.023300 0.028603 0.034893 0.042090 0.050014 0.059338
2026-02-22 0.017206 0.022244 0.027960 0.034846 0.042838 0.051744 0.062343
2026-03-01 0.015862 0.021083 0.027112 0.034486 0.043157 0.052934 0.064688
2026-03-08 0.014489 0.019804 0.026050 0.033803 0.043040 0.053569 0.066353
2026-03-15 0.013240 0.018605 0.025018 0.033094 0.042836 0.054057 0.067808
2026-03-22 0.012797 0.018378 0.025140 0.033750 0.044233 0.056407 0.071428
2026-03-29 0.012135 0.017836 0.024842 0.033866 0.044962 0.057953 0.074097
2026-04-05 0.011436 0.017210 0.024407 0.033785 0.045430 0.059173 0.076369
2026-04-12 0.011032 0.016984 0.024507 0.034418 0.046836 0.061602 0.080198
2026-04-19 0.010340 0.016351 0.024071 0.034372 0.047414 0.063054 0.082894
2026-04-26 0.009714 0.015771 0.023672 0.034342 0.047989 0.064486 0.085555
2026-05-03 0.009123 0.015206 0.023264 0.034277 0.048499 0.065825 0.088098
2026-05-10 0.008558 0.014645 0.022835 0.034162 0.048926 0.067050 0.090494
2026-05-17 0.008059 0.014152 0.022475 0.034115 0.049426 0.068354 0.092984
2026-05-24 0.007486 0.013522 0.021900 0.033760 0.049508 0.069123 0.094804
2026-05-31 0.006849 0.012760 0.021111 0.033088 0.049153 0.069321 0.095899
2026-06-07 0.006249 0.012021 0.020324 0.032390 0.048738 0.069423 0.096856
2026-06-14 0.006102 0.011976 0.020520 0.033035 0.050099 0.071792 0.100673
2026-06-21 0.005806 0.011678 0.020338 0.033150 0.050746 0.073245 0.103336